Iraklis
Panathinaikos
Iraklis – Panathinaikos
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261101-0309, Nov 7, 03:05 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 62 %
- Most likely score
- 0-112 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 0.89 – 1.84
- Over 2.5 goals
- 51 %
- Both teams to score
- 50 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Panathinaikos away from home (62 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 0.89 goals for Iraklis and 1.84 for Panathinaikos. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 69 %. Over their last five matches, Iraklis took 5 points and Panathinaikos 15 points. Over 2.5 goals: 51 %. Both teams to score: 50 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Iraklis | 7.50 | 12 % | +4.2 % |
| XDraw | 4.90 | 19 % | +19.1 % |
| 2Panathinaikos | 1.35 | 69 % | -16.6 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Iraklis
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Panathinaikos
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Iraklis – Panathinaikos?
Our model gives 2 · Panathinaikos a 62 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Iraklis win 14 %, draw 24 %, Panathinaikos win 62 %.
What is the most likely score for Iraklis – Panathinaikos?
The most likely score is 0-1, at 12 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.