Predictions are closed for this match.
Real Betis
07:00 PM
Sep 17
Getafe
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Real Betis | 1.51 | 63 % | +1.3 % |
| XDraw | 4.10 | 23 % | -20.5 % |
| 2Getafe | 7.00 | 14 % | -5.4 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Real Betis
Getafe
| Real Betis | Form and statistics | Getafe |
|---|---|---|
| 1745 | Elo | 1597 |
| 1.70 | Goals scored / match | 1.10 |
| 1.50 | Goals conceded / match | 1.10 |
| 16.5 | Shots / match | 9.2 |
| 70 % | Win rate | 40 % |
| 2 | Rest days | 4 |
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:50 AM.
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
Our model gives 1 · Real Betis a 67 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Real Betis win 67 %, draw 19 %, Getafe win 14 %.
The most likely score is 2-0, at 12 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.
The model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals at 56 %, and both teams scoring at 49 %.
Bookmaker average with the margin removed: 1.51 for Real Betis, 4.10 for the draw, 7.00 for Getafe.
Kick-off is scheduled for Thursday, September 17, 2026 at 07:00 PM (LaLiga), at Estadio Benito Villamarín.
The model leans towards Real Betis at home (67 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-0. It expects 2.10 goals for Real Betis and 0.80 for Getafe. Bookmakers say the same thing: 63 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Real Betis took 12 points and Getafe 5 points. In recent meetings: 3 wins for Real Betis, 1 draw, 1 win for Getafe. Over 2.5 goals: 56 %. Both teams to score: 49 %.
The three 1/X/2 breakdowns side by side.
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