Stade Rennais
Lille
Stade Rennais – Lille
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261101-0309, Nov 7, 03:05 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 44 %
- Most likely score
- 1-09 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.57 – 1.21
- Over 2.5 goals
- 53 %
- Both teams to score
- 56 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Stade Rennais at home (44 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.57 goals for Stade Rennais and 1.21 for Lille. Bookmakers say the same thing: 44 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Stade Rennais took 5 points and Lille 6 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Stade Rennais, 1 draw, 3 wins for Lille. Over 2.5 goals: 53 %. Both teams to score: 56 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Stade Rennais | 2.17 | 44 % | -4.8 % |
| XDraw | 3.55 | 27 % | +1.8 % |
| 2Lille | 3.17 | 30 % | -12.5 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Stade Rennais
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Lille
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Stade Rennais
- 1 draw
- 3 wins
- Lille
- Stade Rennais1-2Lille
- Lille0-2Stade Rennais
- Stade Rennais0-2Lille
- Lille1-0Stade Rennais
- Lille2-2Stade Rennais
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Stade Rennais – Lille?
Our model gives 1 · Stade Rennais a 44 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Stade Rennais win 44 %, draw 29 %, Lille win 28 %.
What is the most likely score for Stade Rennais – Lille?
The most likely score is 1-0, at 9 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.