Brighton & Hove Albion
Brentford
Brighton & Hove Albion – Brentford
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261101-0309, Nov 7, 03:05 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 60 %
- Most likely score
- 2-110 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.94 – 1.02
- Over 2.5 goals
- 57 %
- Both teams to score
- 55 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Brighton & Hove Albion at home (60 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 1.94 goals for Brighton & Hove Albion and 1.02 for Brentford. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 50 %. Over their last five matches, Brighton & Hove Albion took 8 points and Brentford 5 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Brighton & Hove Albion, 2 draws, 1 win for Brentford. Over 2.5 goals: 57 %. Both teams to score: 55 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Brighton & Hove Albion | 1.90 | 50 % | +13.8 % |
| XDraw | 3.85 | 25 % | -6.0 % |
| 2Brentford | 3.75 | 25 % | -41.2 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Brighton & Hove Albion
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Brentford
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- Brighton & Hove Albion
- 2 draws
- 1 win
- Brentford
- Brentford0-2Brighton & Hove Albion
- Brighton & Hove Albion2-1Brentford
- Brentford4-2Brighton & Hove Albion
- Brighton & Hove Albion0-0Brentford
- Brentford0-0Brighton & Hove Albion
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Brighton & Hove Albion – Brentford?
Our model gives 1 · Brighton & Hove Albion a 60 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Brighton & Hove Albion win 60 %, draw 24 %, Brentford win 16 %.
What is the most likely score for Brighton & Hove Albion – Brentford?
The most likely score is 2-1, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.