Romssa Arena
Tromso
Bodo/Glimt
Tromso – Bodo/Glimt
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261101-0309, Nov 7, 03:05 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 59 %
- Most likely score
- 1-210 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.15 – 2.14
- Over 2.5 goals
- 64 %
- Both teams to score
- 61 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Bodo/Glimt away from home (59 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-2. It expects 1.15 goals for Tromso and 2.14 for Bodo/Glimt. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 69 %. Over their last five matches, Tromso took 5 points and Bodo/Glimt 7 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Tromso, 2 draws, 2 wins for Bodo/Glimt. Over 2.5 goals: 64 %. Both teams to score: 61 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Tromso | 7.00 | 13 % | +37.6 % |
| XDraw | 5.25 | 18 % | +13.7 % |
| 2Bodo/Glimt | 1.35 | 69 % | -20.8 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Tromso
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Bodo/Glimt
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Tromso
- 2 draws
- 2 wins
- Bodo/Glimt
- Bodo/Glimt5-0Tromso
- Bodo/Glimt1-1Tromso
- Tromso2-1Bodo/Glimt
- Tromso0-0Bodo/Glimt
- Bodo/Glimt4-0Tromso
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Tromso – Bodo/Glimt?
Our model gives 2 · Bodo/Glimt a 59 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Tromso win 20 %, draw 22 %, Bodo/Glimt win 59 %.
What is the most likely score for Tromso – Bodo/Glimt?
The most likely score is 1-2, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.