IFK Göteborg
Malmö FF
IFK Göteborg – Malmö FF
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261101-0309, Nov 7, 03:05 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 41 %
- Most likely score
- 1-010 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.41 – 1.25
- Over 2.5 goals
- 50 %
- Both teams to score
- 54 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards IFK Göteborg at home (41 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.41 goals for IFK Göteborg and 1.25 for Malmö FF. Bookmakers say the same thing: 40 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, IFK Göteborg took 6 points and Malmö FF 7 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for IFK Göteborg, 1 draw, 3 wins for Malmö FF. Over 2.5 goals: 50 %. Both teams to score: 54 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1IFK Göteborg | 2.35 | 40 % | -3.9 % |
| XDraw | 3.45 | 27 % | -2.6 % |
| 2Malmö FF | 2.80 | 33 % | -13.6 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
IFK Göteborg
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Malmö FF
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- IFK Göteborg
- 1 draw
- 3 wins
- Malmö FF
- Malmö FF4-0IFK Göteborg
- Malmö FF0-0IFK Göteborg
- IFK Göteborg1-0Malmö FF
- Malmö FF2-1IFK Göteborg
- IFK Göteborg0-3Malmö FF
Frequently asked questions
Who will win IFK Göteborg – Malmö FF?
Our model gives 1 · IFK Göteborg a 41 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: IFK Göteborg win 41 %, draw 28 %, Malmö FF win 31 %.
What is the most likely score for IFK Göteborg – Malmö FF?
The most likely score is 1-0, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.