Çorum FK
Fenerbahce
Çorum FK – Fenerbahce
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261101-0309, Nov 7, 03:05 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 55 %
- Most likely score
- 1-210 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.25 – 1.95
- Over 2.5 goals
- 62 %
- Both teams to score
- 61 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Fenerbahce away from home (55 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-2. It expects 1.25 goals for Çorum FK and 1.95 for Fenerbahce. Bookmakers say the same thing: 55 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Çorum FK took 9 points and Fenerbahce 7 points. Over 2.5 goals: 62 %. Both teams to score: 61 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Çorum FK | 4.30 | 22 % | -9.2 % |
| XDraw | 3.95 | 24 % | -4.8 % |
| 2Fenerbahce | 1.71 | 55 % | -6.3 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Çorum FK
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Fenerbahce
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Çorum FK – Fenerbahce?
Our model gives 2 · Fenerbahce a 55 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Çorum FK win 21 %, draw 24 %, Fenerbahce win 55 %.
What is the most likely score for Çorum FK – Fenerbahce?
The most likely score is 1-2, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.