Elche
Real Betis
Elche – Real Betis
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261101-0309, Nov 7, 03:05 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 39 %
- Most likely score
- 0-110 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.22 – 1.40
- Over 2.5 goals
- 49 %
- Both teams to score
- 53 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Real Betis away from home (39 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.22 goals for Elche and 1.40 for Real Betis. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 46 %. Over their last five matches, Elche took 8 points and Real Betis 7 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Elche, 1 draw, 4 wins for Real Betis. Over 2.5 goals: 49 %. Both teams to score: 53 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Elche | 3.35 | 28 % | +8.2 % |
| XDraw | 3.80 | 25 % | +10.8 % |
| 2Real Betis | 2.05 | 46 % | -21.0 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Elche
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Real Betis
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Elche
- 1 draw
- 4 wins
- Real Betis
- Real Betis2-1Elche
- Real Betis2-1Elche
- Elche1-1Real Betis
- Elche2-3Real Betis
- Real Betis3-0Elche
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Elche – Real Betis?
Our model gives 2 · Real Betis a 39 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Elche win 32 %, draw 29 %, Real Betis win 39 %.
What is the most likely score for Elche – Real Betis?
The most likely score is 0-1, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.