Club Brugge
Anderlecht
Club Brugge – Anderlecht
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261101-0309, Nov 7, 03:05 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 72 %
- Most likely score
- 2-010 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.54 – 0.98
- Over 2.5 goals
- 68 %
- Both teams to score
- 58 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Club Brugge at home (72 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-0. It expects 2.54 goals for Club Brugge and 0.98 for Anderlecht. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 63 %. Over their last five matches, Club Brugge took 15 points and Anderlecht 9 points. In recent meetings: 3 wins for Club Brugge, 1 draw, 1 win for Anderlecht. Over 2.5 goals: 68 %. Both teams to score: 58 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Club Brugge | 1.48 | 63 % | +6.4 % |
| XDraw | 4.80 | 19 % | -17.6 % |
| 2Anderlecht | 5.25 | 18 % | -42.6 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Club Brugge
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Anderlecht
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 3 wins
- Club Brugge
- 1 draw
- 1 win
- Anderlecht
- Anderlecht1-3Club Brugge
- Club Brugge4-2Anderlecht
- Club Brugge2-2Anderlecht
- Anderlecht1-0Club Brugge
- Anderlecht1-3Club Brugge
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Club Brugge – Anderlecht?
Our model gives 1 · Club Brugge a 72 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Club Brugge win 72 %, draw 17 %, Anderlecht win 11 %.
What is the most likely score for Club Brugge – Anderlecht?
The most likely score is 2-0, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.