Parken Stadium
F.C. København
Brøndby IF
F.C. København – Brøndby IF
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261101-0309, Nov 7, 03:05 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 60 %
- Most likely score
- 2-110 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.03 – 1.07
- Over 2.5 goals
- 60 %
- Both teams to score
- 57 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards F.C. København at home (60 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 2.03 goals for F.C. København and 1.07 for Brøndby IF. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 54 %. Over their last five matches, F.C. København took 9 points and Brøndby IF 9 points. In recent meetings: 4 wins for F.C. København, 0 draws, 1 win for Brøndby IF. Over 2.5 goals: 60 %. Both teams to score: 57 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1F.C. København | 1.74 | 54 % | +4.6 % |
| XDraw | 3.85 | 24 % | -10.7 % |
| 2Brøndby IF | 4.20 | 22 % | -30.0 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
F.C. København
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Brøndby IF
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 4 wins
- F.C. København
- 0 draws
- 1 win
- Brøndby IF
- Brøndby IF0-1F.C. København
- Brøndby IF1-3F.C. København
- F.C. København1-0Brøndby IF
- Brøndby IF2-1F.C. København
- Brøndby IF0-3F.C. København
Frequently asked questions
Who will win F.C. København – Brøndby IF?
Our model gives 1 · F.C. København a 60 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: F.C. København win 60 %, draw 23 %, Brøndby IF win 17 %.
What is the most likely score for F.C. København – Brøndby IF?
The most likely score is 2-1, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.