Manchester United
2-3
Brighton & Hove Albion
Manchester United – Brighton & Hove Albion
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:49 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 45 %
- Most likely score
- 2-19 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.71 – 1.52
The short version
Final score: Manchester United 2-3 Brighton & Hove Albion. The model predicted a win for Manchester United (45 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 1.71 goals for Manchester United and 1.52 for Brighton & Hove Albion. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 51 %. Over their last five matches, Manchester United took 7 points and Brighton & Hove Albion 10 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Manchester United, 0 draws, 3 wins for Brighton & Hove Albion. Over 2.5 goals: 63 %. Both teams to score: 64 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Manchester United | 1.80 | 51 % | -18.3 % |
| XDraw | 3.90 | 24 % | -18.4 % |
| 2Brighton & Hove Albion | 3.65 | 25 % | +23.0 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Manchester United
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Brighton & Hove Albion
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- Manchester United
- 0 draws
- 3 wins
- Brighton & Hove Albion
- Brighton & Hove Albion0-3Manchester United
- Manchester United1-2Brighton & Hove Albion
- Manchester United4-2Brighton & Hove Albion
- Manchester United1-3Brighton & Hove Albion
- Brighton & Hove Albion2-1
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Manchester United – Brighton & Hove Albion?
Final score: Manchester United 2-3 Brighton & Hove Albion. The model predicted a win for Manchester United (45 %): missed prediction.