Coventry City
1-3
Aston Villa
Coventry City – Aston Villa
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:49 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 51 %
- Most likely score
- 1-210 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.13 – 1.72
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Coventry City 1-3 Aston Villa. The model predicted a win for Aston Villa (51 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-2. It expects 1.13 goals for Coventry City and 1.72 for Aston Villa. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 45 %. Over their last five matches, Coventry City took 3 points and Aston Villa 4 points. Over 2.5 goals: 54 %. Both teams to score: 56 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Coventry City | 3.30 | 28 % | -12.6 % |
| XDraw | 3.50 | 27 % | -21.0 % |
| 2Aston Villa | 2.05 | 45 % | +4.4 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Coventry City
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Aston Villa
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Coventry City – Aston Villa?
Final score: Coventry City 1-3 Aston Villa. The model predicted a win for Aston Villa (51 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Coventry City – Aston Villa?
Our model gives 2 · Aston Villa a 51 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Coventry City win 26 %, draw 23 %, Aston Villa win 51 %.