Bayer Leverkusen
2-0
NK Celje
Bayer Leverkusen – NK Celje
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:49 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 81 %
- Most likely score
- 3-010 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 3.01 – 0.78
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Bayer Leverkusen 2-0 NK Celje. The model predicted a win for Bayer Leverkusen (81 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 3-0. It expects 3.01 goals for Bayer Leverkusen and 0.78 for NK Celje. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 91 %. Over their last five matches, Bayer Leverkusen took 8 points and NK Celje 5 points. Over 2.5 goals: 73 %. Both teams to score: 52 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Bayer Leverkusen | 1.05 | 91 % | -14.8 % |
| XDraw | 15.00 | 6 % | +67.3 % |
| 2NK Celje | 32.50 | 3 % | +143.1 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Bayer Leverkusen
- Last 5 matches
- At home
NK Celje
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Bayer Leverkusen – NK Celje?
Final score: Bayer Leverkusen 2-0 NK Celje. The model predicted a win for Bayer Leverkusen (81 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Bayer Leverkusen – NK Celje?
Our model gives 1 · Bayer Leverkusen a 81 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Bayer Leverkusen win 81 %, draw 11 %, NK Celje win 7 %.