Anderlecht
1-2
Lyon
Anderlecht – Lyon
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:49 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 43 %
- Most likely score
- 1-29 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.35 – 1.46
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Anderlecht 1-2 Lyon. The model predicted a win for Lyon (43 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-2. It expects 1.35 goals for Anderlecht and 1.46 for Lyon. Bookmakers say the same thing: 40 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Anderlecht took 10 points and Lyon 8 points. Over 2.5 goals: 53 %. Both teams to score: 57 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Anderlecht | 2.89 | 33 % | -4.3 % |
| XDraw | 3.58 | 27 % | -13.9 % |
| 2Lyon | 2.35 | 40 % | +0.6 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Anderlecht
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Lyon
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Anderlecht – Lyon?
Final score: Anderlecht 1-2 Lyon. The model predicted a win for Lyon (43 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Anderlecht – Lyon?
Our model gives 2 · Lyon a 43 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Anderlecht win 33 %, draw 24 %, Lyon win 43 %.