AC Milan
0-2
Benfica
AC Milan – Benfica
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:49 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 54 %
- Most likely score
- 1-210 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.30 – 1.98
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: AC Milan 0-2 Benfica. The model predicted a win for Benfica (54 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-2. It expects 1.30 goals for AC Milan and 1.98 for Benfica. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 29 %. Over their last five matches, AC Milan took 8 points and Benfica 15 points. Over 2.5 goals: 64 %. Both teams to score: 63 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1AC Milan | 2.20 | 43 % | -43.1 % |
| XDraw | 3.52 | 27 % | -30.1 % |
| 2Benfica | 3.25 | 29 % | +76.6 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
AC Milan
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Benfica
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of AC Milan – Benfica?
Final score: AC Milan 0-2 Benfica. The model predicted a win for Benfica (54 %): correct prediction.
Who will win AC Milan – Benfica?
Our model gives 2 · Benfica a 54 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: AC Milan win 26 %, draw 20 %, Benfica win 54 %.