Shanghai Port FC
Liaoning Tieren
Shanghai Port FC – Liaoning Tieren
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261101-0309, Nov 6, 06:00 PM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 61 %
- Most likely score
- 2-110 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.38 – 1.15
- Over 2.5 goals
- 69 %
- Both teams to score
- 62 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Shanghai Port FC at home (61 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 2.38 goals for Shanghai Port FC and 1.15 for Liaoning Tieren. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 72 %. Over their last five matches, Shanghai Port FC took 10 points and Liaoning Tieren 4 points. Over 2.5 goals: 69 %. Both teams to score: 62 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Shanghai Port FC | 1.28 | 72 % | -22.4 % |
| XDraw | 6.00 | 15 % | +31.1 % |
| 2Liaoning Tieren | 7.50 | 12 % | +31.6 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Shanghai Port FC
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Liaoning Tieren
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Shanghai Port FC – Liaoning Tieren?
Our model gives 1 · Shanghai Port FC a 61 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Shanghai Port FC win 61 %, draw 22 %, Liaoning Tieren win 18 %.
What is the most likely score for Shanghai Port FC – Liaoning Tieren?
The most likely score is 2-1, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.