Shandong Taishan
Chengdu Rongcheng
Shandong Taishan – Chengdu Rongcheng
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261101-0309, Nov 6, 06:00 PM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 43 %
- Most likely score
- 2-19 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.83 – 1.41
- Over 2.5 goals
- 63 %
- Both teams to score
- 64 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Shandong Taishan at home (43 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 1.83 goals for Shandong Taishan and 1.41 for Chengdu Rongcheng. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 38 %. Over their last five matches, Shandong Taishan took 11 points and Chengdu Rongcheng 4 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Shandong Taishan, 0 draws, 3 wins for Chengdu Rongcheng. Over 2.5 goals: 63 %. Both teams to score: 64 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Shandong Taishan | 2.45 | 38 % | +5.7 % |
| XDraw | 3.70 | 25 % | -4.0 % |
| 2Chengdu Rongcheng | 2.50 | 37 % | -22.8 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Shandong Taishan
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Chengdu Rongcheng
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- Shandong Taishan
- 0 draws
- 3 wins
- Chengdu Rongcheng
- Chengdu Rongcheng1-0Shandong Taishan
- Chengdu Rongcheng2-1Shandong Taishan
- Shandong Taishan0-3Chengdu Rongcheng
- Shandong Taishan3-0Chengdu Rongcheng
- Chengdu Rongcheng0-1Shandong Taishan
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Shandong Taishan – Chengdu Rongcheng?
Our model gives 1 · Shandong Taishan a 43 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Shandong Taishan win 43 %, draw 26 %, Chengdu Rongcheng win 31 %.
What is the most likely score for Shandong Taishan – Chengdu Rongcheng?
The most likely score is 2-1, at 9 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.