Náutico
CRB
Náutico – CRB
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261101-0309, Nov 6, 06:00 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 38 %
- Most likely score
- 0-110 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.19 – 1.32
- Over 2.5 goals
- 46 %
- Both teams to score
- 51 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards CRB away from home (38 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.19 goals for Náutico and 1.32 for CRB. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 63 %. Over their last five matches, Náutico took 4 points and CRB 7 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Náutico, 1 draw, 2 wins for CRB. Over 2.5 goals: 46 %. Both teams to score: 51 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Náutico | 5.75 | 16 % | +98.6 % |
| XDraw | 4.50 | 21 % | +25.5 % |
| 2CRB | 1.47 | 63 % | -44.8 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Náutico
- Last 5 matches
- At home
CRB
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- Náutico
- 1 draw
- 2 wins
- CRB
- CRB2-1Náutico
- Náutico2-1CRB
- CRB1-2Náutico
- Náutico1-3CRB
- CRB1-1Náutico
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Náutico – CRB?
Our model gives 2 · CRB a 38 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Náutico win 35 %, draw 28 %, CRB win 38 %.
What is the most likely score for Náutico – CRB?
The most likely score is 0-1, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.