AIK
1-1
Mjällby AIF
AIK – Mjällby AIF
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:49 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 47 %
- Most likely score
- 1-010 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.66 – 1.15
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: AIK 1-1 Mjällby AIF. The model predicted a win for AIK (47 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.66 goals for AIK and 1.15 for Mjällby AIF. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 42 %. Over their last five matches, AIK took 10 points and Mjällby AIF 1 point. In recent meetings: 3 wins for AIK, 1 draw, 1 win for Mjällby AIF. Over 2.5 goals: 53 %. Both teams to score: 56 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1AIK | 2.25 | 42 % | +5.9 % |
| XDraw | 3.55 | 27 % | -2.5 % |
| 2Mjällby AIF | 3.00 | 31 % | -23.6 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
AIK
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Mjällby AIF
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 3 wins
- AIK
- 1 draw
- 1 win
- Mjällby AIF
- Mjällby AIF1-2AIK
- Mjällby AIF2-0AIK
- AIK2-1Mjällby AIF
- AIK1-0Mjällby AIF
- Mjällby AIF1-1AIK
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of AIK – Mjällby AIF?
Final score: AIK 1-1 Mjällby AIF. The model predicted a win for AIK (47 %): missed prediction.
Who will win AIK – Mjällby AIF?
Our model gives 1 · AIK a 47 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: AIK win 47 %, draw 27 %, Mjällby AIF win 25 %.