Deportivo
0-1
Sevilla
Deportivo – Sevilla
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:49 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 41 %
- Most likely score
- 1-011 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.29 – 1.17
The short version
Final score: Deportivo 0-1 Sevilla. The model predicted a win for Deportivo (41 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.29 goals for Deportivo and 1.17 for Sevilla. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 35 %. Over their last five matches, Deportivo took 9 points and Sevilla 10 points. Over 2.5 goals: 45 %. Both teams to score: 50 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Deportivo | 2.75 | 35 % | +12.1 % |
| XDraw | 3.10 | 31 % | -12.0 % |
| 2Sevilla | 2.75 | 35 % | -15.2 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Deportivo
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Sevilla
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Deportivo – Sevilla?
Final score: Deportivo 0-1 Sevilla. The model predicted a win for Deportivo (41 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Deportivo – Sevilla?
Our model gives 1 · Deportivo a 41 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Deportivo win 41 %, draw 28 %, Sevilla win 31 %.