Atlante
Santos
Atlante – Santos
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261101-0309, Nov 6, 06:00 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 36 %
- Most likely score
- 0-19 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.30 – 1.44
- Over 2.5 goals
- 52 %
- Both teams to score
- 56 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Santos away from home (36 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.30 goals for Atlante and 1.44 for Santos. Bookmakers say the same thing: 32 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Atlante took 3 points and Santos 5 points. Over 2.5 goals: 52 %. Both teams to score: 56 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Atlante | 2.20 | 43 % | -22.3 % |
| XDraw | 3.70 | 25 % | +4.4 % |
| 2Santos | 2.95 | 32 % | +7.6 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Atlante
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Santos
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Atlante – Santos?
Our model gives 2 · Santos a 36 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Atlante win 35 %, draw 28 %, Santos win 36 %.
What is the most likely score for Atlante – Santos?
The most likely score is 0-1, at 9 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.