Sporting CP
Moreirense
Sporting CP – Moreirense
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261101-0309, Nov 6, 03:04 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 81 %
- Most likely score
- 2-012 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.62 – 0.70
- Over 2.5 goals
- 64 %
- Both teams to score
- 47 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Sporting CP at home (81 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-0. It expects 2.62 goals for Sporting CP and 0.70 for Moreirense. Bookmakers say the same thing: 81 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Sporting CP took 9 points and Moreirense 7 points. In recent meetings: 4 wins for Sporting CP, 0 draws, 1 win for Moreirense. Over 2.5 goals: 64 %. Both teams to score: 47 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Sporting CP | 1.15 | 81 % | -6.7 % |
| XDraw | 7.50 | 12 % | -1.2 % |
| 2Moreirense | 13.00 | 7 % | -24.7 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Sporting CP
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Moreirense
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 4 wins
- Sporting CP
- 0 draws
- 1 win
- Moreirense
- Moreirense0-3Sporting CP
- Sporting CP3-0Moreirense
- Sporting CP3-1Moreirense
- Moreirense2-1Sporting CP
- Moreirense0-2Sporting CP
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Sporting CP – Moreirense?
Our model gives 1 · Sporting CP a 81 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Sporting CP win 81 %, draw 13 %, Moreirense win 6 %.
What is the most likely score for Sporting CP – Moreirense?
The most likely score is 2-0, at 12 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.