Peterborough United
Reading
Peterborough United – Reading
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261101-0309, Nov 6, 03:04 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 42 %
- Most likely score
- 2-19 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.55 – 1.51
- Over 2.5 goals
- 59 %
- Both teams to score
- 62 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Peterborough United at home (42 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 1.55 goals for Peterborough United and 1.51 for Reading. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 34 %. Over their last five matches, Peterborough United took 7 points and Reading 4 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Peterborough United, 1 draw, 1 win for Reading. Over 2.5 goals: 59 %. Both teams to score: 62 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Peterborough United | 2.80 | 34 % | +17.3 % |
| XDraw | 3.65 | 26 % | -20.5 % |
| 2Reading | 2.40 | 40 % | -12.9 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Peterborough United
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Reading
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Peterborough United
- 1 draw
- 1 win
- Reading
- Peterborough United0-0Reading
- Reading3-1Peterborough United
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Peterborough United – Reading?
Our model gives 1 · Peterborough United a 42 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Peterborough United win 42 %, draw 22 %, Reading win 36 %.
What is the most likely score for Peterborough United – Reading?
The most likely score is 2-1, at 9 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.