ARARAT-ARMENIA
1-4
Sparta Prague
ARARAT-ARMENIA – Sparta Prague
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:49 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 44 %
- Most likely score
- 0-111 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.10 – 1.38
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: ARARAT-ARMENIA 1-4 Sparta Prague. The model predicted a win for Sparta Prague (44 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.10 goals for ARARAT-ARMENIA and 1.38 for Sparta Prague. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 55 %. Over their last five matches, ARARAT-ARMENIA took 7 points and Sparta Prague 6 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for ARARAT-ARMENIA, 0 draws, 2 wins for Sparta Prague. Over 2.5 goals: 45 %. Both teams to score: 50 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1ARARAT-ARMENIA | 4.55 | 21 % | +40.2 % |
| XDraw | 4.00 | 24 % | +2.0 % |
| 2Sparta Prague | 1.72 | 55 % | -24.9 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
ARARAT-ARMENIA
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Sparta Prague
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- ARARAT-ARMENIA
- 0 draws
- 2 wins
- Sparta Prague
- ARARAT-ARMENIA1-2Sparta Prague
- Sparta Prague4-1ARARAT-ARMENIA
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of ARARAT-ARMENIA – Sparta Prague?
Final score: ARARAT-ARMENIA 1-4 Sparta Prague. The model predicted a win for Sparta Prague (44 %): correct prediction.
Who will win ARARAT-ARMENIA – Sparta Prague?
Our model gives 2 · Sparta Prague a 44 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: ARARAT-ARMENIA win 31 %, draw 25 %, Sparta Prague win 44 %.