AS Roma
Sassuolo
AS Roma – Sassuolo
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261101-0309, Nov 6, 03:04 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 80 %
- Most likely score
- 2-010 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.84 – 0.89
- Over 2.5 goals
- 72 %
- Both teams to score
- 56 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards AS Roma at home (80 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-0. It expects 2.84 goals for AS Roma and 0.89 for Sassuolo. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 73 %. Over their last five matches, AS Roma took 10 points and Sassuolo 1 point. In recent meetings: 4 wins for AS Roma, 0 draws, 1 win for Sassuolo. Over 2.5 goals: 72 %. Both teams to score: 56 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1AS Roma | 1.28 | 73 % | +2.9 % |
| XDraw | 5.88 | 16 % | -21.2 % |
| 2Sassuolo | 8.50 | 11 % | -44.7 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
AS Roma
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Sassuolo
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 4 wins
- AS Roma
- 0 draws
- 1 win
- Sassuolo
- AS Roma2-0Sassuolo
- Sassuolo0-1AS Roma
- AS Roma1-0Sassuolo
- Sassuolo1-2AS Roma
- AS Roma3-4Sassuolo
Frequently asked questions
Who will win AS Roma – Sassuolo?
Our model gives 1 · AS Roma a 80 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: AS Roma win 80 %, draw 13 %, Sassuolo win 7 %.
What is the most likely score for AS Roma – Sassuolo?
The most likely score is 2-0, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.