Elche
2-3
Real Madrid
Elche – Real Madrid
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:48 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 65 %
- Most likely score
- 0-211 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 0.93 – 2.06
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Elche 2-3 Real Madrid. The model predicted a win for Real Madrid (65 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-2. It expects 0.93 goals for Elche and 2.06 for Real Madrid. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 79 %. Over their last five matches, Elche took 2 points and Real Madrid 12 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Elche, 1 draw, 1 win for Real Madrid. Over 2.5 goals: 57 %. Both teams to score: 53 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Elche | 12.00 | 8 % | +82.4 % |
| XDraw | 7.50 | 13 % | +49.8 % |
| 2Real Madrid | 1.20 | 79 % | -22.2 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Elche
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Real Madrid
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Elche
- 1 draw
- 1 win
- Real Madrid
- Real Madrid4-1Elche
- Elche2-2Real Madrid
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Elche – Real Madrid?
Final score: Elche 2-3 Real Madrid. The model predicted a win for Real Madrid (65 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Elche – Real Madrid?
Our model gives 2 · Real Madrid a 65 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Elche win 15 %, draw 20 %, Real Madrid win 65 %.