Fiorentina
3-0
Pisa
Fiorentina – Pisa
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:48 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 68 %
- Most likely score
- 2-011 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.34 – 0.89
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Fiorentina 3-0 Pisa. The model predicted a win for Fiorentina (68 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-0. It expects 2.34 goals for Fiorentina and 0.89 for Pisa. Bookmakers say the same thing: 64 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Fiorentina took 6 points and Pisa 7 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Fiorentina, 1 draw, 0 wins for Pisa. Over 2.5 goals: 63 %. Both teams to score: 54 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Fiorentina | 1.46 | 64 % | -0.6 % |
| XDraw | 4.40 | 21 % | -17.8 % |
| 2Pisa | 6.50 | 14 % | -13.9 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Fiorentina
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Pisa
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Fiorentina
- 1 draw
- 0 wins
- Pisa
- Fiorentina1-0Pisa
- Pisa0-0Fiorentina
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Fiorentina – Pisa?
Final score: Fiorentina 3-0 Pisa. The model predicted a win for Fiorentina (68 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Fiorentina – Pisa?
Our model gives 1 · Fiorentina a 68 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Fiorentina win 68 %, draw 19 %, Pisa win 13 %.