Leganés
Albacete
Leganés – Albacete
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261101-0309, Nov 6, 03:04 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 40 %
- Most likely score
- 1-011 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.31 – 1.15
- Over 2.5 goals
- 45 %
- Both teams to score
- 50 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Leganés at home (40 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.31 goals for Leganés and 1.15 for Albacete. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 47 %. Over their last five matches, Leganés took 1 point and Albacete 6 points. In recent meetings: 3 wins for Leganés, 0 draws, 2 wins for Albacete. Over 2.5 goals: 45 %. Both teams to score: 50 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Leganés | 2.00 | 47 % | -19.2 % |
| XDraw | 3.50 | 27 % | +5.5 % |
| 2Albacete | 3.50 | 27 % | +3.1 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Leganés
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Albacete
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 3 wins
- Leganés
- 0 draws
- 2 wins
- Albacete
- Leganés2-1Albacete
- Albacete1-3Leganés
- Leganés1-2Albacete
- Albacete1-0Leganés
- Leganés2-0Albacete
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Leganés – Albacete?
Our model gives 1 · Leganés a 40 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Leganés win 40 %, draw 30 %, Albacete win 29 %.
What is the most likely score for Leganés – Albacete?
The most likely score is 1-0, at 11 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.