Lerkendal Stadion
Rosenborg
IK Start
Rosenborg – IK Start
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261101-0309, Nov 6, 03:04 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 81 %
- Most likely score
- 3-010 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 3.21 – 0.80
- Over 2.5 goals
- 76 %
- Both teams to score
- 53 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Rosenborg at home (81 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 3-0. It expects 3.21 goals for Rosenborg and 0.80 for IK Start. Bookmakers say the same thing: 76 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Rosenborg took 13 points and IK Start 3 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Rosenborg, 1 draw, 0 wins for IK Start. Over 2.5 goals: 76 %. Both teams to score: 53 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Rosenborg | 1.22 | 76 % | -1.3 % |
| XDraw | 6.50 | 14 % | -18.0 % |
| 2IK Start | 10.00 | 9 % | -35.0 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Rosenborg
- Last 5 matches
- At home
IK Start
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- Rosenborg
- 1 draw
- 0 wins
- IK Start
- IK Start0-3Rosenborg
- Rosenborg1-0IK Start
- IK Start0-0Rosenborg
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Rosenborg – IK Start?
Our model gives 1 · Rosenborg a 81 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Rosenborg win 81 %, draw 13 %, IK Start win 7 %.
What is the most likely score for Rosenborg – IK Start?
The most likely score is 3-0, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.