Örgryte IS
Västerås SK
Örgryte IS – Västerås SK
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261101-0309, Nov 6, 03:04 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 45 %
- Most likely score
- 1-29 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.24 – 1.65
- Over 2.5 goals
- 55 %
- Both teams to score
- 58 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Västerås SK away from home (45 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-2. It expects 1.24 goals for Örgryte IS and 1.65 for Västerås SK. Bookmakers say the same thing: 42 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Örgryte IS took 4 points and Västerås SK 9 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Örgryte IS, 0 draws, 1 win for Västerås SK. Over 2.5 goals: 55 %. Both teams to score: 58 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Örgryte IS | 2.85 | 33 % | -19.7 % |
| XDraw | 3.75 | 25 % | +0.8 % |
| 2Västerås SK | 2.20 | 42 % | -1.1 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Örgryte IS
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Västerås SK
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Örgryte IS
- 0 draws
- 1 win
- Västerås SK
- Västerås SK2-0Örgryte IS
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Örgryte IS – Västerås SK?
Our model gives 2 · Västerås SK a 45 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Örgryte IS win 28 %, draw 27 %, Västerås SK win 45 %.
What is the most likely score for Örgryte IS – Västerås SK?
The most likely score is 1-2, at 9 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.