Reading
1-2
Brentford
Reading – Brentford
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:48 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 63 %
- Most likely score
- 0-210 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.00 – 2.32
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Reading 1-2 Brentford. The model predicted a win for Brentford (63 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-2. It expects 1.00 goals for Reading and 2.32 for Brentford. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 77 %. Over their last five matches, Reading took 7 points and Brentford 9 points. Over 2.5 goals: 64 %. Both teams to score: 57 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Reading | 11.00 | 8 % | +82.9 % |
| XDraw | 6.50 | 14 % | +30.9 % |
| 2Brentford | 1.20 | 77 % | -24.1 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Reading
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Brentford
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Reading – Brentford?
Final score: Reading 1-2 Brentford. The model predicted a win for Brentford (63 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Reading – Brentford?
Our model gives 2 · Brentford a 63 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Reading win 17 %, draw 20 %, Brentford win 63 %.