Mantova
Hellas Verona
Mantova – Hellas Verona
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261101-0309, Nov 6, 03:04 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 38 %
- Most likely score
- 1-010 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.36 – 1.23
- Over 2.5 goals
- 48 %
- Both teams to score
- 53 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Mantova at home (38 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.36 goals for Mantova and 1.23 for Hellas Verona. Bookmakers say the same thing: 38 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Mantova took 7 points and Hellas Verona 8 points. Over 2.5 goals: 48 %. Both teams to score: 53 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Mantova | 2.45 | 38 % | -7.6 % |
| XDraw | 3.35 | 28 % | +4.6 % |
| 2Hellas Verona | 2.75 | 34 % | -14.6 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Mantova
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Hellas Verona
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Mantova – Hellas Verona?
Our model gives 1 · Mantova a 38 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Mantova win 38 %, draw 31 %, Hellas Verona win 31 %.
What is the most likely score for Mantova – Hellas Verona?
The most likely score is 1-0, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.