Galatasaray
Amed SFK
Galatasaray – Amed SFK
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261101-0309, Nov 6, 03:04 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 76 %
- Most likely score
- 2-09 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.77 – 0.99
- Over 2.5 goals
- 72 %
- Both teams to score
- 59 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Galatasaray at home (76 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-0. It expects 2.77 goals for Galatasaray and 0.99 for Amed SFK. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 66 %. Over their last five matches, Galatasaray took 15 points and Amed SFK 13 points. Over 2.5 goals: 72 %. Both teams to score: 59 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Galatasaray | 1.42 | 66 % | +7.8 % |
| XDraw | 4.90 | 19 % | -28.9 % |
| 2Amed SFK | 6.00 | 16 % | -42.3 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Galatasaray
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Amed SFK
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Galatasaray – Amed SFK?
Our model gives 1 · Galatasaray a 76 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Galatasaray win 76 %, draw 14 %, Amed SFK win 10 %.
What is the most likely score for Galatasaray – Amed SFK?
The most likely score is 2-0, at 9 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.