Cádiz
Real Oviedo
Cádiz – Real Oviedo
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261101-0309, Nov 6, 03:04 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 39 %
- Most likely score
- 0-110 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.18 – 1.39
- Over 2.5 goals
- 47 %
- Both teams to score
- 52 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Real Oviedo away from home (39 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.18 goals for Cádiz and 1.39 for Real Oviedo. Bookmakers say the same thing: 37 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Cádiz took 6 points and Real Oviedo 8 points. In recent meetings: 3 wins for Cádiz, 0 draws, 1 win for Real Oviedo. Over 2.5 goals: 47 %. Both teams to score: 52 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Cádiz | 2.75 | 34 % | -13.9 % |
| XDraw | 3.20 | 29 % | -6.1 % |
| 2Real Oviedo | 2.55 | 37 % | +0.4 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Cádiz
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Real Oviedo
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 3 wins
- Cádiz
- 0 draws
- 1 win
- Real Oviedo
- Real Oviedo2-1Cádiz
- Cádiz2-0Real Oviedo
- Cádiz2-0Real Oviedo
- Real Oviedo0-2Cádiz
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Cádiz – Real Oviedo?
Our model gives 2 · Real Oviedo a 39 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Cádiz win 31 %, draw 29 %, Real Oviedo win 39 %.
What is the most likely score for Cádiz – Real Oviedo?
The most likely score is 0-1, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.