Liverpool
3-1
Tottenham Hotspur
Liverpool – Tottenham Hotspur
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:48 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 60 %
- Most likely score
- 2-010 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.95 – 1.00
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Liverpool 3-1 Tottenham Hotspur. The model predicted a win for Liverpool (60 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-0. It expects 1.95 goals for Liverpool and 1.00 for Tottenham Hotspur. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 46 %. Over their last five matches, Liverpool took 9 points and Tottenham Hotspur 5 points. In recent meetings: 3 wins for Liverpool, 1 draw, 1 win for Tottenham Hotspur. Over 2.5 goals: 57 %. Both teams to score: 54 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Liverpool | 2.00 | 46 % | +20.1 % |
| XDraw | 3.65 | 25 % | -28.0 % |
| 2Tottenham Hotspur | 3.30 | 28 % | -33.2 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Liverpool
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Tottenham Hotspur
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 3 wins
- Liverpool
- 1 draw
- 1 win
- Tottenham Hotspur
- Liverpool1-1Tottenham Hotspur
- Tottenham Hotspur1-2Liverpool
- Liverpool5-1Tottenham Hotspur
- Liverpool4-0Tottenham Hotspur
- Tottenham Hotspur1-0Liverpool
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Liverpool – Tottenham Hotspur?
Final score: Liverpool 3-1 Tottenham Hotspur. The model predicted a win for Liverpool (60 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Liverpool – Tottenham Hotspur?
Our model gives 1 · Liverpool a 60 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Liverpool win 60 %, draw 20 %, Tottenham Hotspur win 20 %.