West Ham United
2-3
Fulham
West Ham United – Fulham
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:48 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 45 %
- Most likely score
- 2-19 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.65 – 1.39
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: West Ham United 2-3 Fulham. The model predicted a win for West Ham United (45 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 1.65 goals for West Ham United and 1.39 for Fulham. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 37 %. Over their last five matches, West Ham United took 13 points and Fulham 4 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for West Ham United, 1 draw, 2 wins for Fulham. Over 2.5 goals: 59 %. Both teams to score: 61 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1West Ham United | 2.50 | 37 % | +12.4 % |
| XDraw | 3.60 | 26 % | -20.6 % |
| 2Fulham | 2.50 | 37 % | -17.5 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
West Ham United
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Fulham
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- West Ham United
- 1 draw
- 2 wins
- Fulham
- Fulham0-1West Ham United
- West Ham United0-1Fulham
- West Ham United3-2Fulham
- Fulham1-1West Ham United
- West Ham United0-2Fulham
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of West Ham United – Fulham?
Final score: West Ham United 2-3 Fulham. The model predicted a win for West Ham United (45 %): missed prediction.
Who will win West Ham United – Fulham?
Our model gives 1 · West Ham United a 45 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: West Ham United win 45 %, draw 22 %, Fulham win 33 %.