Predictions are closed for this match.
West Ham United
08:45 PM
Sep 15
Fulham
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1West Ham United | 2.50 | 37 % | +12.4 % |
| XDraw | 3.60 | 26 % | -20.6 % |
| 2Fulham | 2.50 | 37 % | -17.5 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
West Ham United
Fulham
| West Ham United | Form and statistics | Fulham |
|---|---|---|
| 1643 | Elo | 1628 |
| 3.00 | Goals scored / match | 1.10 |
| 1.10 | Goals conceded / match | 1.20 |
| 15.7 | Shots / match | 16.0 |
| 70 % | Win rate | 30 % |
| 3 | Rest days | 3 |
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:48 AM.
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
Our model gives 1 · West Ham United a 45 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: West Ham United win 45 %, draw 22 %, Fulham win 33 %.
The most likely score is 2-1, at 9 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.
The model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals at 59 %, and both teams scoring at 61 %.
Bookmaker average with the margin removed: 2.50 for West Ham United, 3.60 for the draw, 2.50 for Fulham.
Kick-off is scheduled for Tuesday, September 15, 2026 at 08:45 PM (League Cup), at London Stadium.
The model leans towards West Ham United at home (45 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 1.65 goals for West Ham United and 1.39 for Fulham. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 37 %. Over their last five matches, West Ham United took 13 points and Fulham 4 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for West Ham United, 1 draw, 2 wins for Fulham. Over 2.5 goals: 59 %. Both teams to score: 61 %.
The three 1/X/2 breakdowns side by side.
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