Dundee United
Motherwell
Dundee United – Motherwell
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261101-0309, Nov 6, 03:04 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 41 %
- Most likely score
- 2-19 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.56 – 1.31
- Over 2.5 goals
- 55 %
- Both teams to score
- 58 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Dundee United at home (41 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 1.56 goals for Dundee United and 1.31 for Motherwell. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 47 %. Over their last five matches, Dundee United took 11 points and Motherwell 4 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Dundee United, 1 draw, 3 wins for Motherwell. Over 2.5 goals: 55 %. Both teams to score: 58 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Dundee United | 1.96 | 47 % | -18.9 % |
| XDraw | 3.70 | 25 % | +1.4 % |
| 2Motherwell | 3.25 | 28 % | +1.1 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Dundee United
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Motherwell
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Dundee United
- 1 draw
- 3 wins
- Motherwell
- Motherwell3-0Dundee United
- Motherwell2-0Dundee United
- Dundee United0-0Motherwell
- Motherwell2-0Dundee United
- Dundee United1-0Motherwell
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Dundee United – Motherwell?
Our model gives 1 · Dundee United a 41 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Dundee United win 41 %, draw 27 %, Motherwell win 31 %.
What is the most likely score for Dundee United – Motherwell?
The most likely score is 2-1, at 9 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.