KVC Westerlo
Royal Charleroi SC
KVC Westerlo – Royal Charleroi SC
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261101-0309, Nov 6, 03:04 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 41 %
- Most likely score
- 1-29 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.47 – 1.62
- Over 2.5 goals
- 60 %
- Both teams to score
- 62 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Royal Charleroi SC away from home (41 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-2. It expects 1.47 goals for KVC Westerlo and 1.62 for Royal Charleroi SC. Bookmakers say the same thing: 42 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, KVC Westerlo took 10 points and Royal Charleroi SC 12 points. In recent meetings: 3 wins for KVC Westerlo, 0 draws, 2 wins for Royal Charleroi SC. Over 2.5 goals: 60 %. Both teams to score: 62 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1KVC Westerlo | 2.85 | 33 % | -6.6 % |
| XDraw | 3.70 | 25 % | -2.3 % |
| 2Royal Charleroi SC | 2.25 | 42 % | -8.2 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
KVC Westerlo
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Royal Charleroi SC
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 3 wins
- KVC Westerlo
- 0 draws
- 2 wins
- Royal Charleroi SC
- Royal Charleroi SC0-1KVC Westerlo
- KVC Westerlo2-0Royal Charleroi SC
- KVC Westerlo2-1Royal Charleroi SC
- Royal Charleroi SC2-0KVC Westerlo
- Royal Charleroi SC4-3KVC Westerlo
Frequently asked questions
Who will win KVC Westerlo – Royal Charleroi SC?
Our model gives 2 · Royal Charleroi SC a 41 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: KVC Westerlo win 33 %, draw 26 %, Royal Charleroi SC win 41 %.
What is the most likely score for KVC Westerlo – Royal Charleroi SC?
The most likely score is 1-2, at 9 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.