West Bromwich Albion
Millwall
West Bromwich Albion – Millwall
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261101-0309, Nov 6, 03:04 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 46 %
- Most likely score
- 1-011 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.48 – 1.08
- Over 2.5 goals
- 47 %
- Both teams to score
- 51 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards West Bromwich Albion at home (46 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.48 goals for West Bromwich Albion and 1.08 for Millwall. Bookmakers say the same thing: 48 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, West Bromwich Albion took 11 points and Millwall 4 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for West Bromwich Albion, 4 draws, 1 win for Millwall. Over 2.5 goals: 47 %. Both teams to score: 51 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1West Bromwich Albion | 1.96 | 48 % | -9.8 % |
| XDraw | 3.55 | 26 % | -3.5 % |
| 2Millwall | 3.67 | 26 % | -1.9 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
West Bromwich Albion
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Millwall
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- West Bromwich Albion
- 4 draws
- 1 win
- Millwall
- West Bromwich Albion0-0Millwall
- Millwall3-0West Bromwich Albion
- Millwall1-1West Bromwich Albion
- West Bromwich Albion0-0Millwall
- Millwall1-1West Bromwich Albion
Frequently asked questions
Who will win West Bromwich Albion – Millwall?
Our model gives 1 · West Bromwich Albion a 46 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: West Bromwich Albion win 46 %, draw 27 %, Millwall win 27 %.
What is the most likely score for West Bromwich Albion – Millwall?
The most likely score is 1-0, at 11 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.