Queens Park Rangers
Lincoln City
Queens Park Rangers – Lincoln City
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261101-0309, Nov 6, 03:04 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 52 %
- Most likely score
- 1-011 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.71 – 1.00
- Over 2.5 goals
- 51 %
- Both teams to score
- 52 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Queens Park Rangers at home (52 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.71 goals for Queens Park Rangers and 1.00 for Lincoln City. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 58 %. Over their last five matches, Queens Park Rangers took 7 points and Lincoln City 4 points. Over 2.5 goals: 51 %. Both teams to score: 52 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Queens Park Rangers | 1.63 | 58 % | -14.9 % |
| XDraw | 3.95 | 24 % | +6.4 % |
| 2Lincoln City | 4.97 | 19 % | +3.2 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Queens Park Rangers
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Lincoln City
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Queens Park Rangers – Lincoln City?
Our model gives 1 · Queens Park Rangers a 52 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Queens Park Rangers win 52 %, draw 27 %, Lincoln City win 21 %.
What is the most likely score for Queens Park Rangers – Lincoln City?
The most likely score is 1-0, at 11 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.