Motherwell
0-4
Aberdeen
Motherwell – Aberdeen
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:48 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 61 %
- Most likely score
- 1-011 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.92 – 0.91
The short version
Final score: Motherwell 0-4 Aberdeen. The model predicted a win for Motherwell (61 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.92 goals for Motherwell and 0.91 for Aberdeen. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 52 %. Over their last five matches, Motherwell took 4 points and Aberdeen 4 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Motherwell, 1 draw, 2 wins for Aberdeen. Over 2.5 goals: 54 %. Both teams to score: 51 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Motherwell | 1.81 | 52 % | +9.9 % |
| XDraw | 3.75 | 25 % | -14.0 % |
| 2Aberdeen | 3.95 | 24 % | -35.1 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Motherwell
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Aberdeen
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- Motherwell
- 1 draw
- 2 wins
- Aberdeen
- Aberdeen2-0Motherwell
- Motherwell2-0Aberdeen
- Aberdeen1-1Motherwell
- Motherwell2-0Aberdeen
- Aberdeen4-1Motherwell
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Motherwell – Aberdeen?
Final score: Motherwell 0-4 Aberdeen. The model predicted a win for Motherwell (61 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Motherwell – Aberdeen?
Our model gives 1 · Motherwell a 61 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Motherwell win 61 %, draw 23 %, Aberdeen win 16 %.