Borussia Dortmund
SV Elversberg
Borussia Dortmund – SV Elversberg
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261101-0309, Nov 6, 03:04 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 74 %
- Most likely score
- 2-010 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.52 – 0.95
- Over 2.5 goals
- 67 %
- Both teams to score
- 57 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Borussia Dortmund at home (74 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-0. It expects 2.52 goals for Borussia Dortmund and 0.95 for SV Elversberg. Bookmakers say the same thing: 72 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Borussia Dortmund took 13 points and SV Elversberg 6 points. Over 2.5 goals: 67 %. Both teams to score: 57 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Borussia Dortmund | 1.29 | 72 % | -4.3 % |
| XDraw | 5.88 | 16 % | -5.1 % |
| 2SV Elversberg | 8.00 | 12 % | -22.6 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Borussia Dortmund
- Last 5 matches
- At home
SV Elversberg
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Borussia Dortmund – SV Elversberg?
Our model gives 1 · Borussia Dortmund a 74 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Borussia Dortmund win 74 %, draw 16 %, SV Elversberg win 10 %.
What is the most likely score for Borussia Dortmund – SV Elversberg?
The most likely score is 2-0, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.