Hibernian
0-1
Kilmarnock
Hibernian – Kilmarnock
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:48 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 60 %
- Most likely score
- 2-010 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.00 – 0.96
The short version
Final score: Hibernian 0-1 Kilmarnock. The model predicted a win for Hibernian (60 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-0. It expects 2.00 goals for Hibernian and 0.96 for Kilmarnock. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 66 %. Over their last five matches, Hibernian took 4 points and Kilmarnock 1 point. In recent meetings: 3 wins for Hibernian, 2 draws, 0 wins for Kilmarnock. Over 2.5 goals: 57 %. Both teams to score: 54 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Hibernian | 1.41 | 66 % | -15.8 % |
| XDraw | 4.83 | 19 % | +13.2 % |
| 2Kilmarnock | 6.38 | 15 % | +7.7 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Hibernian
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Kilmarnock
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 3 wins
- Hibernian
- 2 draws
- 0 wins
- Kilmarnock
- Hibernian3-0Kilmarnock
- Kilmarnock1-3Hibernian
- Hibernian2-2Kilmarnock
- Kilmarnock1-1Hibernian
- Hibernian1-0Kilmarnock
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Hibernian – Kilmarnock?
Final score: Hibernian 0-1 Kilmarnock. The model predicted a win for Hibernian (60 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Hibernian – Kilmarnock?
Our model gives 1 · Hibernian a 60 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Hibernian win 60 %, draw 23 %, Kilmarnock win 17 %.