Wrexham
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Wrexham – Wolverhampton Wanderers
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261101-0309, Nov 6, 03:04 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 42 %
- Most likely score
- 0-111 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.16 – 1.36
- Over 2.5 goals
- 46 %
- Both teams to score
- 51 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Wolverhampton Wanderers away from home (42 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.16 goals for Wrexham and 1.36 for Wolverhampton Wanderers. Bookmakers say the same thing: 43 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Wrexham took 6 points and Wolverhampton Wanderers 13 points. Over 2.5 goals: 46 %. Both teams to score: 51 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Wrexham | 3.25 | 29 % | -3.8 % |
| XDraw | 3.45 | 27 % | -0.5 % |
| 2Wolverhampton Wanderers | 2.17 | 43 % | -9.6 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Wrexham
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Wolverhampton Wanderers
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Wrexham – Wolverhampton Wanderers?
Our model gives 2 · Wolverhampton Wanderers a 42 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Wrexham win 30 %, draw 29 %, Wolverhampton Wanderers win 42 %.
What is the most likely score for Wrexham – Wolverhampton Wanderers?
The most likely score is 0-1, at 11 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.