Falkirk
2-1
Heart of Midlothian
Falkirk – Heart of Midlothian
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:48 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 52 %
- Most likely score
- 1-210 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.09 – 1.81
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Falkirk 2-1 Heart of Midlothian. The model predicted a win for Heart of Midlothian (52 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-2. It expects 1.09 goals for Falkirk and 1.81 for Heart of Midlothian. Bookmakers say the same thing: 50 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Falkirk took 2 points and Heart of Midlothian 11 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Falkirk, 1 draw, 4 wins for Heart of Midlothian. Over 2.5 goals: 55 %. Both teams to score: 56 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Falkirk | 3.80 | 25 % | -14.2 % |
| XDraw | 3.70 | 25 % | -6.1 % |
| 2Heart of Midlothian | 1.85 | 50 % | -3.5 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Falkirk
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Heart of Midlothian
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Falkirk
- 1 draw
- 4 wins
- Heart of Midlothian
- Heart of Midlothian3-0Falkirk
- Heart of Midlothian1-0Falkirk
- Heart of Midlothian1-1Falkirk
- Falkirk0-2Heart of Midlothian
- Heart of Midlothian3-0Falkirk
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Falkirk – Heart of Midlothian?
Final score: Falkirk 2-1 Heart of Midlothian. The model predicted a win for Heart of Midlothian (52 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Falkirk – Heart of Midlothian?
Our model gives 2 · Heart of Midlothian a 52 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Falkirk win 23 %, draw 25 %, Heart of Midlothian win 52 %.