Leeds United
Tottenham Hotspur
Leeds United – Tottenham Hotspur
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261101-0309, Nov 6, 03:04 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 38 %
- Most likely score
- 1-09 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.33 – 1.30
- Over 2.5 goals
- 49 %
- Both teams to score
- 54 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Leeds United at home (38 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.33 goals for Leeds United and 1.30 for Tottenham Hotspur. Bookmakers say the same thing: 35 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Leeds United took 3 points and Tottenham Hotspur 10 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Leeds United, 1 draw, 4 wins for Tottenham Hotspur. Over 2.5 goals: 49 %. Both teams to score: 54 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Leeds United | 2.75 | 35 % | +5.7 % |
| XDraw | 3.35 | 28 % | -6.2 % |
| 2Tottenham Hotspur | 2.58 | 37 % | -13.6 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Leeds United
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Tottenham Hotspur
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Leeds United
- 1 draw
- 4 wins
- Tottenham Hotspur
- Tottenham Hotspur1-1Leeds United
- Leeds United1-2Tottenham Hotspur
- Leeds United1-4Tottenham Hotspur
- Tottenham Hotspur4-3Leeds United
- Leeds United0-4Tottenham Hotspur
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Leeds United – Tottenham Hotspur?
Our model gives 1 · Leeds United a 38 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Leeds United win 38 %, draw 28 %, Tottenham Hotspur win 34 %.
What is the most likely score for Leeds United – Tottenham Hotspur?
The most likely score is 1-0, at 9 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.