VfL Osnabruck
Kaiserslautern
VfL Osnabruck – Kaiserslautern
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261101-0309, Nov 6, 03:04 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 46 %
- Most likely score
- 0-111 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.08 – 1.62
- Over 2.5 goals
- 50 %
- Both teams to score
- 53 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Kaiserslautern away from home (46 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.08 goals for VfL Osnabruck and 1.62 for Kaiserslautern. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 38 %. Over their last five matches, VfL Osnabruck took 5 points and Kaiserslautern 10 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for VfL Osnabruck, 1 draw, 0 wins for Kaiserslautern. Over 2.5 goals: 50 %. Both teams to score: 53 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1VfL Osnabruck | 2.60 | 36 % | -35.6 % |
| XDraw | 3.65 | 26 % | +7.9 % |
| 2Kaiserslautern | 2.45 | 38 % | +11.9 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
VfL Osnabruck
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Kaiserslautern
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- VfL Osnabruck
- 1 draw
- 0 wins
- Kaiserslautern
- VfL Osnabruck2-2Kaiserslautern
Frequently asked questions
Who will win VfL Osnabruck – Kaiserslautern?
Our model gives 2 · Kaiserslautern a 46 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: VfL Osnabruck win 25 %, draw 30 %, Kaiserslautern win 46 %.
What is the most likely score for VfL Osnabruck – Kaiserslautern?
The most likely score is 0-1, at 11 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.