1. FC Nürnberg
SV Darmstadt 98
1. FC Nürnberg – SV Darmstadt 98
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261101-0309, Nov 6, 03:04 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 57 %
- Most likely score
- 2-110 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.03 – 1.09
- Over 2.5 goals
- 60 %
- Both teams to score
- 58 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards 1. FC Nürnberg at home (57 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 2.03 goals for 1. FC Nürnberg and 1.09 for SV Darmstadt 98. Bookmakers say the same thing: 55 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, 1. FC Nürnberg took 5 points and SV Darmstadt 98 8 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for 1. FC Nürnberg, 1 draw, 3 wins for SV Darmstadt 98. Over 2.5 goals: 60 %. Both teams to score: 58 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11. FC Nürnberg | 1.71 | 55 % | -2.8 % |
| XDraw | 4.20 | 22 % | +1.4 % |
| 2SV Darmstadt 98 | 4.00 | 23 % | -24.0 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
1. FC Nürnberg
- Last 5 matches
- At home
SV Darmstadt 98
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- 1. FC Nürnberg
- 1 draw
- 3 wins
- SV Darmstadt 98
- SV Darmstadt 982-01. FC Nürnberg
- 1. FC Nürnberg0-1SV Darmstadt 98
- 1. FC Nürnberg1-0SV Darmstadt 98
- SV Darmstadt 981-11. FC Nürnberg
- 1. FC Nürnberg0-1SV Darmstadt 98
Frequently asked questions
Who will win 1. FC Nürnberg – SV Darmstadt 98?
Our model gives 1 · 1. FC Nürnberg a 57 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: 1. FC Nürnberg win 57 %, draw 24 %, SV Darmstadt 98 win 19 %.
What is the most likely score for 1. FC Nürnberg – SV Darmstadt 98?
The most likely score is 2-1, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.