Middlesbrough
2-2
Millwall
Middlesbrough – Millwall
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:48 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 54 %
- Most likely score
- 1-011 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.71 – 1.01
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Middlesbrough 2-2 Millwall. The model predicted a win for Middlesbrough (54 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.71 goals for Middlesbrough and 1.01 for Millwall. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 68 %. Over their last five matches, Middlesbrough took 10 points and Millwall 3 points. In recent meetings: 3 wins for Middlesbrough, 0 draws, 2 wins for Millwall. Over 2.5 goals: 51 %. Both teams to score: 53 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Middlesbrough | 1.40 | 68 % | -24.8 % |
| XDraw | 5.00 | 19 % | +26.5 % |
| 2Millwall | 7.00 | 13 % | +45.5 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Middlesbrough
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Millwall
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 3 wins
- Middlesbrough
- 0 draws
- 2 wins
- Millwall
- Middlesbrough1-2Millwall
- Millwall0-3Middlesbrough
- Millwall1-0Middlesbrough
- Middlesbrough1-0Millwall
- Millwall1-3Middlesbrough
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Middlesbrough – Millwall?
Final score: Middlesbrough 2-2 Millwall. The model predicted a win for Middlesbrough (54 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Middlesbrough – Millwall?
Our model gives 1 · Middlesbrough a 54 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Middlesbrough win 54 %, draw 25 %, Millwall win 21 %.