Bristol City
0-1
Lincoln City
Bristol City – Lincoln City
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:48 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 41 %
- Most likely score
- 1-011 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.42 – 1.15
The short version
Final score: Bristol City 0-1 Lincoln City. The model predicted a win for Bristol City (41 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.42 goals for Bristol City and 1.15 for Lincoln City. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 51 %. Over their last five matches, Bristol City took 10 points and Lincoln City 8 points. Over 2.5 goals: 47 %. Both teams to score: 52 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Bristol City | 1.83 | 51 % | -24.5 % |
| XDraw | 3.58 | 26 % | +5.0 % |
| 2Lincoln City | 4.15 | 23 % | +22.3 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Bristol City
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Lincoln City
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Bristol City – Lincoln City?
Final score: Bristol City 0-1 Lincoln City. The model predicted a win for Bristol City (41 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Bristol City – Lincoln City?
Our model gives 1 · Bristol City a 41 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Bristol City win 41 %, draw 29 %, Lincoln City win 29 %.